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2011-04-01

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 63.7% 36.3% -
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% -
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -1.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +5 (88-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ray Allen * 37 4-9 2-3 1-1 0 3 1 1 1 11 6 -
Paul Pierce * 36 8-15 1-2 8-11 8 2 1 0 2 25 19 -
Glen Davis * 35 4-11 1-2 0-2 5 1 1 0 0 9 5 -
Rajon Rondo * 31 6-15 0-1 1-4 10 5 0 0 1 13 12 -
Kevin Garnett * 26 5-9 0-0 0-0 10 5 0 0 0 10 16 -
Delonte West * 24 4-9 2-3 0-0 3 5 2 2 0 10 13 -
Jeff Green * 23 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 4 1 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 15 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 2 1 0 -
Sasha Pavlovic * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Von Wafer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Horford * 47 7-14 0-0 2-4 15 4 1 1 1 16 22 -
Kirk Hinrich * 40 2-8 1-3 0-0 8 2 0 0 1 5 6 -
Joe Johnson * 36 4-20 1-4 10-11 5 2 0 0 1 19 5 -
Jamal Crawford * 33 7-14 2-5 4-4 5 4 0 0 2 20 13 -
Marvin Williams * 27 2-6 0-2 3-3 5 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
Josh Smith * 26 3-10 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 6 0 -
Zaza Pachulia * 23 4-6 0-0 7-8 10 0 1 0 2 15 18 -
Jeff Teague * 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter