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2011-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% -
Margin 50.2% 49.8% -0.0 (28.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +28 (110-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 34 10-20 1-2 6-6 13 2 0 1 4 27 19 -
Jason Kidd * 32 2-7 2-6 0-0 2 6 2 0 2 6 7 -
Tyson Chandler * 30 2-4 0-0 3-5 10 1 0 0 0 7 14 -
Jason Terry * 27 2-9 0-3 1-2 1 3 0 1 2 5 -1 -
Shawn Marion * 26 4-9 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 1 2 9 5 -
Peja Stojakovic * 24 4-10 3-7 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 13 4 -
J.J. Barea * 20 4-8 0-2 2-3 3 3 0 0 2 10 6 -
Rodrigue Beaubois * 15 2-8 0-3 1-3 4 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
Brendan Haywood * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
DeShawn Stevenson 5 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Brian Cardinal 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ian Mahinmi 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Bynum * 36 6-9 0-0 6-8 13 3 0 2 0 18 27 -
Pau Gasol * 30 7-14 0-0 6-7 7 2 0 1 1 20 15 -
Kobe Bryant * 30 8-21 1-5 11-15 5 4 2 0 4 28 14 -
Metta World Peace * 25 5-10 2-4 1-1 4 6 1 0 0 13 14 -
Lamar Odom * 25 6-10 3-4 1-2 11 3 1 0 0 16 21 -
Derek Fisher * 23 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
Steve Blake * 22 0-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 0 1 -
Shannon Brown * 20 1-5 0-2 3-3 1 1 1 0 1 5 2 -
Matt Barnes * 13 2-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
Luke Walton 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joe Smith 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Theo Ratliff 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter