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2011-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 42.2% 57.8% -
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% -
Margin 35.0% 65.0% +3.4 (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -10 (97-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ray Allen * 41 3-11 1-4 6-6 0 3 1 1 4 13 3 -
Rajon Rondo * 41 11-20 0-1 0-2 5 14 0 0 0 22 21 -
Paul Pierce * 36 8-16 1-5 4-5 11 7 1 1 2 21 23 -
Glen Davis * 32 8-12 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 0 16 14 -
Kevin Garnett * 28 9-12 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 1 3 20 15 -
Jeff Green * 16 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 3 -
Delonte West * 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 1 0 2 7 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 11 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
Nenad Krstic * 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
Sasha Pavlovic * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Von Wafer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Richard Jefferson * 35 5-11 4-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 14 7 -
Tony Parker * 34 9-16 0-1 5-6 4 8 2 0 2 23 19 -
Tim Duncan * 33 8-12 0-1 4-5 13 3 1 2 5 20 22 -
Manu Ginobili * 33 4-13 1-6 0-0 3 6 0 0 1 9 4 -
Antonio McDyess * 26 3-8 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
George Hill * 22 2-5 1-3 1-1 1 2 1 0 3 6 2 -
Matt Bonner * 20 3-9 2-6 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 8 3 -
Gary Neal * 17 4-12 0-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 8 0 -
DeJuan Blair * 10 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 1 0 3 6 -
Tiago Splitter 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter