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2011-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 45.8% 54.2% -
Bradley-Terry 55.8% 44.2% -
Margin 60.4% 39.6% -2.3 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -18 (98-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 35 8-18 3-6 3-5 4 2 0 3 0 22 13 -
Serge Ibaka * 33 6-13 0-0 3-3 10 0 0 3 0 15 15 -
Russell Westbrook * 31 6-9 0-1 4-5 3 8 2 1 5 16 16 -
James Harden * 28 7-9 3-5 5-9 3 2 3 0 1 22 20 -
Nick Collison * 25 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 6 2 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 22 3-8 0-3 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 6 7 -
Nazr Mohammed * 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 4 6 -
Eric Maynor * 15 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 5 7 -
Kendrick Perkins * 14 4-6 0-0 5-6 3 1 1 1 0 13 13 -
Daequan Cook * 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Nate Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Royal Ivey 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jared Dudley * 33 4-9 1-4 7-7 4 2 2 0 3 16 12 -
Channing Frye * 31 3-7 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 3 1 8 5 -
Steve Nash * 30 3-4 0-1 2-2 4 9 1 0 4 8 14 -
Vince Carter * 29 11-19 2-4 4-5 5 1 0 0 1 28 14 -
Marcin Gortat * 26 4-13 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 1 2 9 5 -
Hakim Warrick * 23 1-5 0-0 3-6 3 2 2 0 0 5 7 -
Josh Childress * 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Grant Hill * 16 1-7 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 1 0 3 1 -
Aaron Brooks * 16 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 7 4 -
Robin Lopez * 7 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Garret Siler 3 3-3 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
Zabian Dowdell 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter