Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.2% | 79.8% | +7.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +14 (104-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Thornton * | 42 | 9-19 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 40 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 36 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 5 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 28 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 13 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Omri Casspi * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Donte Greene * | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Darnell Jackson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Pooh Jeter | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo Gallinari * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 31 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| JR Smith * | 30 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 27 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 22 | 7-19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | -3 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter