Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.2% | 39.8% | -2.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -16 (107-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 43 | 12-16 | 1-3 | 10-13 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 35 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 41 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 11-17 | 1-3 | 10-12 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 28 | - |
| James Jones * | 31 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Eddie House * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Crawford * | 45 | 12-24 | 5-8 | 10-10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 17 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 39 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Othyus Jeffers * | 28 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 26 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jianlian Yi * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cartier Martin * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| John Wall * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mustafa Shakur | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Hamady Ndiaye | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter