Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -6 (98-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Jennings * | 41 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 41 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| John Salmons * | 40 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 37 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 25 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jon Brockman * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| James Johnson * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 31 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 22 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter