Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | -0.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +12 (102-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 43 | 8-20 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| LeBron James * | 43 | 10-21 | 1-5 | 6-10 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 42 | 7-11 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| James Jones * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Eddie House * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hollins * | 36 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 29 | 7-9 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Luke Harangody * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Christian Eyenga * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Joey Graham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter