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2011-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 80.4% 19.6% -
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% -
Margin 48.9% 51.1% +0.2 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +7 (107-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul Pierce * 39 8-13 3-4 4-4 6 1 1 1 3 23 16 -
Rajon Rondo * 39 9-13 0-0 4-4 4 8 0 0 1 22 20 -
Glen Davis * 36 7-11 0-0 6-8 5 0 1 1 3 20 13 -
Ray Allen * 36 4-8 1-3 2-3 2 5 1 0 1 11 10 -
Jeff Green * 28 1-3 0-2 6-8 3 2 0 0 2 8 8 -
Kevin Garnett * 25 2-4 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 1 2 6 7 -
Nenad Krstic * 17 2-4 0-0 3-4 2 1 2 0 1 7 7 -
Delonte West * 16 1-5 0-1 1-1 1 2 0 0 2 3 -1 -
Sasha Pavlovic * 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Rush * 33 3-8 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
Roy Hibbert * 32 12-17 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 1 3 26 13 -
Danny Granger * 32 6-12 2-6 4-5 3 4 3 1 4 18 13 -
Darren Collison * 28 8-9 0-1 1-1 4 3 2 1 0 17 18 -
Josh McRoberts * 27 2-5 0-0 2-2 4 3 1 0 1 6 8 -
Tyler Hansbrough * 20 2-7 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
AJ Price * 19 6-9 2-3 1-4 2 3 0 0 1 15 10 -
Jeff Foster * 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 1 1 4 9 -
Dahntay Jones * 15 2-5 0-0 4-4 2 0 1 0 1 8 5 -
Paul George * 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter