Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -8 (83-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 6-19 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 38 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 29 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 34 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 32 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 31 | 5-16 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 24 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 13 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Gortat * | 40 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 38 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 16 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter