Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -16 (83-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Williams * | 43 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 10-11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 26 | - |
| Al Horford * | 39 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 38 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Hickson * | 27 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 22 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Samardo Samuels * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Luke Harangody * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Christian Eyenga * | 17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Manny Harris | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joey Graham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter