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2011-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Utah Jazz Spread Result
Elo 61.8% 38.2% -
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.4 (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Utah Jazz -17 (77-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shawn Marion * 33 6-9 0-0 1-2 7 1 4 2 1 13 17 -
Jason Kidd * 33 3-6 1-4 0-0 3 6 2 1 6 7 7 -
Dirk Nowitzki * 30 5-12 0-1 9-9 6 0 0 0 2 19 11 -
Jason Terry * 28 6-7 4-5 6-8 2 2 0 1 2 22 18 -
Tyson Chandler * 26 4-7 0-0 2-3 7 2 0 0 2 10 10 -
Peja Stojakovic * 22 1-6 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 5 2 -
J.J. Barea * 18 2-8 1-2 4-6 0 6 0 0 2 9 5 -
Rodrigue Beaubois * 16 2-5 1-3 2-2 6 2 1 2 0 7 13 -
Ian Mahinmi * 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Brendan Haywood * 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
DeShawn Stevenson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Brian Cardinal 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Jefferson * 39 9-21 0-0 3-3 7 2 0 0 1 21 8 -
Raja Bell * 39 2-6 1-3 2-2 4 1 3 2 3 7 8 -
Paul Millsap * 37 6-12 0-1 3-4 5 1 0 1 2 15 8 -
CJ Miles * 34 7-14 1-5 1-2 5 2 1 0 1 16 9 -
Ronnie Price * 30 2-9 1-2 1-2 5 6 3 0 5 6 6 -
Gordon Hayward * 20 3-3 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Derrick Favors * 19 2-7 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 2 1 4 2 -
Earl Watson * 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 5 0 0 4 2 1 -

* = starter