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2011-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 33.8% 66.2% -
Bradley-Terry 33.1% 66.9% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (32.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +38 (138-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ed Davis * 36 5-9 0-0 8-12 11 0 1 0 3 18 18 -
James Johnson * 35 6-11 0-1 2-4 5 4 2 2 2 14 14 -
DeMar DeRozan * 28 8-12 1-1 2-2 1 0 2 0 4 19 6 -
Andrea Bargnani * 27 2-10 0-0 3-4 0 5 0 0 0 7 2 -
Jerryd Bayless * 27 4-9 0-1 1-2 2 4 0 0 3 9 3 -
Leandro Barbosa * 25 7-11 3-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 19 10 -
Alexis Ajinca * 24 3-7 1-3 0-0 8 3 1 2 2 7 12 -
Sonny Weems * 21 2-9 0-1 0-0 4 5 0 0 2 4 2 -
Jose Calderon * 13 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 5 0 0 0 3 5 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monta Ellis * 41 9-17 3-5 6-6 4 10 4 0 1 27 27 -
Stephen Curry * 36 7-13 4-6 5-5 3 8 0 0 3 23 18 -
Dorell Wright * 30 9-11 1-3 7-8 4 3 4 0 1 26 25 -
Ekpe Udoh * 29 5-7 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 4 0 10 16 -
David Lee * 24 8-9 1-1 4-4 7 4 1 1 1 21 24 -
Reggie Williams * 23 4-6 1-2 1-1 5 4 0 0 0 10 13 -
Lou Amundson * 23 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 7 7 -
Al Thornton * 20 5-11 0-0 2-4 6 0 1 0 3 12 5 -
Jeff Adrien 8 1-4 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
Vladimir Radmanovic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter