Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✗ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +2 (98-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 0 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 34 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 29 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| George Hill * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 17 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Steve Novak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 43 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 37 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 37 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 37 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 32 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 20 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Roy * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
* = starter