Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +9.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (111-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 39 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 38 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 31 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 26 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 24 | 9-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 41 | 11-17 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 27 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 15-26 | 1-3 | 8-11 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 39 | 38 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 39 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 29 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| James Jones * | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Eddie House * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter