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@
Utah Jazz 117
2011-03-24

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Utah Jazz Spread Result
Elo 40.5% 59.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“
Margin 49.9% 50.1% +0.0 โœ— (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 60.0% 40.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.1% 49.9% - โœ“

Actual: Utah Jazz -4 (117-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Ariza * 47 5-9 3-5 1-3 9 2 4 1 1 14 20 -
Chris Paul * 43 8-15 0-2 8-9 3 12 0 0 1 24 23 -
David West * 37 12-25 0-0 5-6 3 0 1 1 2 29 7 -
Jarrett Jack * 30 5-11 1-2 4-5 3 2 1 0 0 15 10 -
Emeka Okafor * 29 5-8 0-0 2-2 6 3 0 1 1 12 13 -
Marco Belinelli * 28 5-8 3-4 1-1 2 4 2 0 0 14 14 -
Aaron Gray * 19 3-5 0-0 4-5 8 2 0 0 0 10 15 -
Carl Landry * 14 0-3 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
Willie Green * 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jason Smith * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Raja Bell * 44 3-11 2-5 5-6 5 1 1 0 2 13 7 -
Earl Watson * 41 5-9 3-4 1-2 3 8 1 1 0 14 18 -
Paul Millsap * 40 13-20 0-0 7-8 11 4 0 3 1 33 30 -
Gordon Hayward * 36 4-9 1-3 4-4 3 5 0 3 1 13 14 -
Al Jefferson * 36 11-17 0-0 0-0 13 2 1 1 3 22 19 -
CJ Miles * 21 5-12 0-4 1-1 4 2 0 1 0 11 6 -
Derrick Favors * 16 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 2 0 -
Ronnie Price * 15 2-3 2-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 8 6 -
Jeremy Evans * 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter