Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +8 (104-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Randolph * | 35 | 14-20 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 26 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 27 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 27 | 3-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jonny Flynn * | 24 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 24 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 12-26 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 30 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 26 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter