Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +3 (115-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Ginobili * | 36 | 7-18 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 24 | 9-15 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| George Hill * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson Chandler * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 32 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 29 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 28 | 8-12 | 5-6 | 6-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| JR Smith * | 20 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter