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2011-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 27.2% 72.8% -
Bradley-Terry 49.1% 50.9% -
Margin 50.5% 49.5% -0.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +8 (114-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrea Bargnani * 38 10-22 1-3 6-6 4 3 0 0 2 27 10 -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 9-20 0-1 1-1 8 4 3 0 1 19 13 -
Jose Calderon * 32 3-6 0-1 0-0 4 13 0 1 0 6 18 -
James Johnson * 23 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 1 8 10 -
Ed Davis * 22 3-5 0-0 1-4 9 1 1 0 0 7 13 -
Leandro Barbosa * 22 6-11 2-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 14 6 -
Amir Johnson * 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
Sonny Weems * 16 6-10 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 12 3 -
Jerryd Bayless * 15 3-9 0-0 1-1 3 2 1 0 1 7 3 -
Reggie Evans * 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 0 2 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jared Dudley * 41 5-12 2-5 1-2 6 1 0 1 1 13 8 -
Channing Frye * 39 4-11 2-6 4-4 7 3 2 0 2 14 13 -
Aaron Brooks * 33 9-16 4-7 3-4 4 8 3 0 3 25 21 -
Marcin Gortat * 33 6-9 0-0 3-4 8 2 0 5 1 15 20 -
Steve Nash * 21 6-11 1-2 3-4 3 8 0 0 1 16 15 -
Vince Carter * 20 4-11 3-6 2-2 0 0 0 1 1 13 2 -
Robin Lopez * 14 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 8 8 -
Zabian Dowdell * 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
Hakim Warrick * 8 1-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Grant Hill * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Mickael Pietrus * 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 -
Josh Childress 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter