Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | -1.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (94-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 42 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 38 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 26 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| James Jones * | 18 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Eddie House * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 39 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 36 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter