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2011-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 36.7% 63.3% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 41.8% 58.2% +1.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +5 (105-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 43 5-14 1-5 2-2 2 4 2 0 4 13 3 -
Josh Smith * 41 13-21 1-3 6-7 12 0 1 1 0 33 26 -
Kirk Hinrich * 37 6-11 4-6 0-0 2 8 1 0 0 16 16 -
Al Horford * 36 4-12 0-0 0-0 9 4 0 0 1 8 8 -
Jamal Crawford * 31 4-9 2-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 10 7 -
Marvin Williams * 30 5-10 0-1 6-6 4 2 0 0 1 16 11 -
Zaza Pachulia * 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 4 5 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jodie Meeks * 37 5-6 5-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 15 13 -
Andre Iguodala * 36 5-11 1-2 5-8 5 4 1 0 1 16 14 -
Elton Brand * 35 6-15 0-0 1-1 11 3 0 1 1 13 12 -
Jrue Holiday * 30 5-11 2-3 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 12 6 -
Thaddeus Young * 26 7-12 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 1 0 16 13 -
Spencer Hawes * 26 5-12 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 2 1 10 5 -
Lou Williams * 20 5-8 2-4 5-7 2 3 0 0 1 17 13 -
Andres Nocioni * 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
Tony Battie * 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Evan Turner 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter