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2011-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 42.3% 57.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 (35.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -33 (81-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 33 10-15 1-3 6-6 4 1 0 1 0 27 18 -
Derrick Rose * 28 11-20 6-8 2-3 4 10 0 0 1 30 23 -
Joakim Noah * 24 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 2 8 10 -
Keith Bogans * 23 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 6 7 -
Carlos Boozer * 22 3-8 0-0 0-2 3 4 0 0 1 6 4 -
Taj Gibson * 21 4-6 0-0 1-1 8 1 0 2 2 9 12 -
C.J. Watson * 19 3-9 0-2 2-2 3 6 2 0 3 8 7 -
Ronnie Brewer * 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
Omer Asik * 17 1-1 0-0 5-8 1 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
Kyle Korver 16 3-6 1-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 9 9 -
Kurt Thomas 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
Rasual Butler 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 31 6-11 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 0 1 13 9 -
Al Horford * 28 6-7 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 2 2 14 12 -
Josh Smith * 27 6-12 0-0 2-4 2 0 2 1 0 14 7 -
Kirk Hinrich * 27 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 5 0 0 2 0 0 -
Jamal Crawford * 26 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
Marvin Williams * 22 3-8 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
Jeff Teague * 19 6-9 4-4 4-4 2 2 0 2 1 20 16 -
Damien Wilkins * 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 0 1 -
Zaza Pachulia * 15 0-3 0-0 5-6 2 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
Hilton Armstrong * 12 1-3 1-1 1-2 4 0 2 2 2 4 7 -
Josh Powell 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Jason Collins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter