Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✓ (29.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +33 (123-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Bargnani * | 28 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 24 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| James Johnson * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 19 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 17 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -6 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca * | 15 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Julian Wright | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JR Smith * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 3-5 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 30 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 26 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 23 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 21 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Gary Forbes | 17 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter