Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +15 (111-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekpe Udoh * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| David Lee * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 30 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 29 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Acie Law * | 22 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Al Thornton * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 33 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 31 | 9-18 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| George Hill * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 26 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 20 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 18 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Danny Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Anderson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter