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2011-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 80.2% 19.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“
Margin 60.7% 39.3% -2.4 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 56.7% 43.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 67.8% 32.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 66.2% 33.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 66.2% 33.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.5% 44.5% - โœ“

Actual: Brooklyn Nets -4 (98-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darren Collison * 39 3-9 0-1 9-9 6 12 0 0 4 15 20 -
Danny Granger * 34 7-17 2-7 4-4 3 3 1 0 2 20 8 -
Roy Hibbert * 32 10-14 0-0 4-7 5 0 1 3 4 24 15 -
Brandon Rush * 29 3-10 2-6 2-2 7 0 0 2 2 10 7 -
Tyler Hansbrough * 26 3-6 0-0 1-1 9 1 0 0 3 7 8 -
Josh McRoberts * 21 6-7 1-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 2 14 9 -
Paul George * 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 2 5 -
Jeff Foster * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 5 -
Dahntay Jones * 13 2-6 0-1 4-4 3 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
Lance Stephenson * 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Morrow * 35 5-15 1-6 1-1 6 2 1 0 1 12 5 -
Brook Lopez * 35 9-20 0-0 2-4 4 3 1 3 1 20 10 -
Kris Humphries * 32 4-8 0-0 1-2 14 3 0 0 3 9 15 -
Jordan Farmar * 31 6-12 0-3 2-2 2 4 1 0 2 14 7 -
Sundiata Gaines * 23 6-11 1-2 5-7 6 3 3 0 0 18 19 -
Stephen Graham * 23 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 0 0 -
Travis Outlaw * 20 2-5 2-5 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 7 7 -
Sasha Vujacic * 16 5-12 4-8 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 14 6 -
Johan Petro * 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 1 0 2 4 -
Brandan Wright * 9 1-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter