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2011-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 64.7% 35.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 46.0% 54.0% +0.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +4 (84-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nicolas Batum * 38 10-16 4-9 1-2 4 3 2 1 2 25 17 -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 36 8-17 0-0 2-3 6 3 1 1 2 18 10 -
Gerald Wallace * 33 4-8 0-2 1-2 8 1 2 0 2 9 10 -
Rudy Fernandez * 27 3-10 2-7 2-2 5 3 0 0 1 10 7 -
Andre Miller * 26 3-14 0-0 1-2 5 5 1 1 2 7 3 -
Marcus Camby * 26 1-2 0-0 1-2 11 4 0 1 1 3 16 -
Brandon Roy * 25 3-12 0-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 8 -1 -
Wesley Matthews * 19 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Patty Mills * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pau Gasol * 44 6-15 0-0 2-3 13 3 0 2 1 14 16 -
Lamar Odom * 41 8-11 0-0 0-0 11 6 2 0 3 16 21 -
Metta World Peace * 36 4-9 0-3 2-2 2 4 1 1 1 10 8 -
Kobe Bryant * 32 9-20 2-7 2-2 4 3 1 1 3 22 8 -
Derek Fisher * 24 3-6 0-1 2-2 0 3 1 1 1 8 6 -
Shannon Brown * 21 3-8 0-2 1-1 1 0 2 0 0 7 2 -
Matt Barnes * 17 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 1 3 0 1 7 7 -
Steve Blake * 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 0 2 -
Derrick Caracter * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Joe Smith 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter