Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✗ (28.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +28 (101-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 40 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 36 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 31 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| David Lee * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Al Thornton * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 15 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Acie Law * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lou Amundson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 31 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 25 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 20 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 19 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 16 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter