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Utah Jazz 108
@
2011-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“
Margin 22.3% 77.7% +6.9 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Rockets +2 (110-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul Millsap * 38 12-18 2-3 9-12 10 4 1 3 1 35 34 -
Al Jefferson * 37 7-23 0-0 3-5 19 4 0 1 2 17 16 -
CJ Miles * 33 8-16 2-5 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 19 6 -
Raja Bell * 29 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
Devin Harris * 29 4-15 2-4 2-4 5 3 0 0 4 12 1 -
Andrei Kirilenko * 20 4-7 1-1 1-2 4 3 1 1 1 10 11 -
Derrick Favors * 19 4-9 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 8 3 -
Earl Watson * 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
Gordon Hayward * 13 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 4 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 43 9-14 3-4 7-8 11 10 3 0 1 28 37 -
Kevin Martin * 41 7-18 2-8 18-18 3 1 1 0 2 34 19 -
Courtney Lee * 40 2-9 0-3 4-6 3 2 1 0 0 8 5 -
Chuck Hayes * 35 3-11 0-0 1-2 5 4 0 2 1 7 6 -
Patrick Patterson * 27 7-11 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 1 2 14 15 -
Luis Scola * 20 1-5 0-0 2-3 8 0 1 3 2 4 9 -
Jordan Hill * 12 0-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Goran Dragic * 9 2-5 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
Chase Budinger * 9 2-4 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 7 2 -

* = starter