Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +8 (104-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 37 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 31 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 18 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 42 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 41 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 40 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 35 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 31 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter