Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.0% | 91.0% | +12.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +11 (109-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Henderson * | 36 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 28 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| DJ White * | 19 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Dominic McGuire * | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| George Hill * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 25 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 24 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 24 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 17 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Danny Green | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Anderson | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter