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2011-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 37.2% 62.8% -
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% -
Margin 36.2% 63.8% +3.1 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +21 (99-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 35 2-8 0-5 2-3 5 2 0 4 2 6 7 -
Tyler Hansbrough * 34 6-13 0-0 2-3 5 1 1 0 3 14 5 -
Danny Granger * 31 5-15 2-6 5-7 5 2 2 0 7 17 4 -
Darren Collison * 29 5-8 2-3 5-5 1 0 1 0 3 17 8 -
Dahntay Jones * 23 1-7 0-2 0-0 2 2 4 0 0 2 3 -
Josh McRoberts * 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 1 4 9 -
AJ Price * 19 2-8 2-7 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 7 0 -
Brandon Rush * 14 1-4 1-3 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
Roy Hibbert * 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
Jeff Foster 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 0 4 12 -
Lance Stephenson 4 0-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Conley * 36 8-18 0-3 1-2 3 9 4 0 1 17 14 -
Zach Randolph * 34 8-11 0-0 1-2 10 3 1 2 4 17 18 -
Tony Allen * 33 7-14 0-0 5-6 11 6 6 1 0 19 29 -
Sam Young * 25 3-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 1 -
Darrell Arthur * 24 4-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 3 2 8 8 -
Marc Gasol * 21 4-7 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 1 0 10 10 -
O.J. Mayo * 20 3-9 0-2 1-2 2 3 1 2 0 7 6 -
Shane Battier * 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
Leon Powe * 13 4-7 0-1 1-3 2 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
Greivis Vasquez * 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 2 0 -
Ish Smith * 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter