Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +11 (108-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorell Wright * | 42 | 9-21 | 4-10 | 8-9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| David Lee * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Al Thornton * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Acie Law * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash * | 36 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 36 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 31 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 28 | 4-15 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter