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2011-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 61.5% 38.5% -
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% -
Margin 40.8% 59.2% +2.0 (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +16 (93-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Glen Davis * 31 6-9 0-0 4-9 7 0 1 0 0 16 15 -
Paul Pierce * 27 2-10 0-4 6-6 5 3 0 0 2 10 6 -
Rajon Rondo * 27 2-11 0-1 0-0 2 6 0 0 1 4 0 -
Jeff Green * 27 7-10 1-1 2-4 2 0 1 2 0 17 12 -
Ray Allen * 26 3-6 0-1 2-2 3 2 2 0 0 8 9 -
Delonte West * 22 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 4 1 0 3 0 -1 -
Kevin Garnett * 21 5-10 0-0 1-2 5 2 2 2 3 11 9 -
Troy Murphy * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 2 3 -
Nenad Krstic * 12 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Carlos Arroyo * 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Sasha Pavlovic * 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Avery Bradley 7 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 41 7-15 4-7 2-2 3 9 1 0 2 20 16 -
Kevin Martin * 38 6-15 2-7 11-12 4 2 2 0 6 25 12 -
Patrick Patterson * 36 8-12 0-0 2-2 12 1 0 4 0 18 23 -
Chuck Hayes * 33 5-7 0-0 1-1 11 3 2 0 3 11 17 -
Chase Budinger * 27 1-9 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 -4 -
Courtney Lee * 23 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 2 3 -
Jordan Hill * 16 2-5 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 1 1 6 10 -
Goran Dragic * 12 1-3 1-2 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
Brad Miller * 9 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 5 4 -

* = starter