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2011-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% -
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% -
Margin 23.3% 76.7% +6.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +9 (116-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Crawford * 42 12-27 0-5 1-2 2 3 1 0 5 25 -1 -
John Wall * 42 5-14 1-1 10-12 2 7 0 0 2 21 14 -
Trevor Booker * 36 12-15 0-0 2-2 13 3 2 1 0 26 30 -
Jianlian Yi * 33 4-10 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 1 1 9 4 -
JaVale McGee * 28 4-10 0-0 3-6 12 2 1 4 1 11 19 -
Maurice Evans * 28 4-7 1-4 6-6 6 0 3 1 1 15 17 -
Hamady Ndiaye * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 0 4 -
Othyus Jeffers * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Kevin Seraphin * 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrea Bargnani * 41 8-15 2-2 15-18 3 5 0 0 3 33 23 -
DeMar DeRozan * 36 11-15 0-1 8-9 3 1 2 0 1 30 20 -
Jose Calderon * 33 7-12 2-4 1-1 4 6 2 0 2 17 15 -
James Johnson * 29 3-7 0-2 0-0 5 5 1 3 2 6 11 -
Reggie Evans * 27 1-2 0-0 5-8 15 3 1 0 1 7 23 -
Leandro Barbosa * 18 4-11 3-5 4-5 2 1 0 0 1 15 6 -
Amir Johnson * 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 2 -
Jerryd Bayless * 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Ed Davis * 12 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Sonny Weems * 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter