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2011-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 61.7% 38.3% -
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% -
Margin 61.7% 38.3% -2.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +3 (85-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wilson Chandler * 35 8-16 3-6 1-2 5 2 2 0 6 20 7 -
Kenyon Martin * 33 4-7 0-0 0-1 10 3 2 1 1 8 16 -
Nene Hilario * 32 3-8 0-0 8-8 9 1 1 0 1 14 16 -
Ty Lawson * 31 4-9 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 9 0 -
Raymond Felton * 27 2-11 0-3 0-0 6 7 1 0 2 4 5 -
Danilo Gallinari * 26 3-7 1-3 10-11 6 1 1 1 2 17 17 -
Arron Afflalo * 22 2-11 0-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 4 -1 -
JR Smith * 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 0 -
Chris Andersen * 15 1-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 0 3 6 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hedo Turkoglu * 38 5-12 3-5 2-4 9 8 0 1 4 15 17 -
Jason Richardson * 37 5-14 2-8 1-2 2 5 2 1 1 13 8 -
Dwight Howard * 37 5-9 0-0 6-13 18 3 4 5 5 16 32 -
Jameer Nelson * 35 5-12 3-6 0-0 3 1 2 0 3 13 4 -
Brandon Bass * 34 2-13 0-0 9-10 8 0 0 1 1 13 8 -
Quentin Richardson * 21 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
Ryan Anderson * 17 3-8 1-5 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 9 6 -
Chris Duhon * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Earl Clark * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 -

* = starter