Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -6 (106-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 38 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 37 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 37 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 10-22 | 2-3 | 12-12 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 27 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 14 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 43 | 10-20 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 40 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| David Lee * | 39 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Acie Law * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Al Thornton | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter