Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -11 (85-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 39 | 12-21 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 33 | 5-16 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| James Harden * | 28 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 7-21 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 39 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| LeBron James * | 39 | 8-21 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| James Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter