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2011-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 24.2% 75.8% -
Bradley-Terry 54.0% 46.0% -
Margin 55.3% 44.7% -1.2 (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +14 (107-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrea Bargnani * 38 8-20 1-1 3-5 4 1 0 2 2 20 5 -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 8-11 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 1 2 16 10 -
Jose Calderon * 29 5-10 0-1 0-0 2 6 0 0 3 10 5 -
Reggie Evans * 28 1-3 0-0 4-4 8 3 2 1 0 6 17 -
Leandro Barbosa * 26 7-16 1-3 3-3 3 3 2 0 1 18 9 -
James Johnson * 20 4-6 0-0 1-1 5 4 2 0 4 9 10 -
Ed Davis * 20 1-2 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
Jerryd Bayless * 18 3-5 1-1 1-1 4 2 0 0 2 8 7 -
Sonny Weems * 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
Alexis Ajinca * 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Greg Monroe * 34 9-14 0-0 3-5 10 5 1 1 0 21 24 -
Richard Hamilton * 34 9-16 4-9 2-2 2 3 1 1 1 24 14 -
Tayshaun Prince * 33 10-17 0-1 2-2 6 3 0 0 1 22 13 -
Tracy McGrady * 29 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 4 1 1 2 7 5 -
Rodney Stuckey * 26 0-1 0-0 3-4 3 14 2 0 2 3 19 -
Ben Wallace * 24 2-6 0-0 2-2 8 1 1 2 2 6 10 -
Chris Wilcox * 15 2-5 0-0 2-6 4 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
Austin Daye * 14 1-5 0-2 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
Charlie Villanueva * 13 4-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
Ben Gordon * 13 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 6 3 -

* = starter