Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -15 (87-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nene Hilario * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 29 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| JR Smith * | 21 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 13 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 34 | 4-16 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Al Horford * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 33 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 32 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter