Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | -0.6 | ✗ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +3 (104-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 38 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 26 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 35 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 32 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 29 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 22 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 40 | 13-25 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 32 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Roy * | 27 | 9-17 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 22 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Patty Mills * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter