Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -5 (90-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Diaw * | 39 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 39 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 37 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 33 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| DJ White * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Bargnani * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 30 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 22 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| James Johnson * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 23 | 6-18 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | -4 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Joey Dorsey * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter