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2011-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 45.2% 54.8% -
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% -
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 (23.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +30 (131-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tayshaun Prince * 29 6-12 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 12 3 -
Ben Gordon * 28 5-9 3-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 13 7 -
Greg Monroe * 27 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 3 0 2 8 9 -
Richard Hamilton * 24 6-15 1-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 15 1 -
Rodney Stuckey * 23 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 0 3 -
Will Bynum * 22 3-7 0-0 2-2 1 10 1 0 0 8 13 -
Tracy McGrady * 21 4-10 0-2 0-0 5 5 1 0 0 8 9 -
Austin Daye * 20 3-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 8 10 -
Chris Wilcox * 20 10-12 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 21 11 -
Charlie Villanueva * 20 3-9 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 1 3 8 0 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ty Lawson * 37 6-11 3-5 0-0 3 11 4 0 3 15 19 -
Wilson Chandler * 29 4-9 1-5 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 11 5 -
JR Smith * 29 11-22 9-16 0-0 4 3 2 0 1 31 17 -
Kenyon Martin * 27 4-7 0-1 1-2 4 6 1 1 1 9 13 -
Nene Hilario * 26 6-8 0-0 6-8 11 2 1 1 0 18 25 -
Raymond Felton * 26 3-6 2-4 4-6 4 6 2 0 1 12 17 -
Gary Forbes * 20 4-5 2-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 10 11 -
Chris Andersen * 16 4-4 0-0 6-8 2 0 0 1 0 14 13 -
Al Harrington * 16 4-7 1-4 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 10 6 -
Timofey Mozgov 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Kosta Koufos 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

* = starter