Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -8 (107-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Ginobili * | 34 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 9-20 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| George Hill * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Steve Novak | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Budinger * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 35 | 9-23 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 17 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter