Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✓ (29.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +33 (118-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 35 | 1-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 26 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 24 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Sam Young * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 8 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ish Smith | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Leon Powe | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 9-9 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 32 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| LeBron James * | 31 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 25 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 22 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| James Jones | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Eddie House | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter