Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +3 (123-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 46 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 30 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 41 | 10-18 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 40 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 39 | 9-19 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 53 | 14-24 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 34 | - |
| David Lee * | 46 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 39 | 8-19 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 37 | 12-17 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 20 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 24 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Acie Law * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Al Thornton | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lou Amundson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter