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2011-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 13.5% 86.5% -
Bradley-Terry 21.6% 78.4% -
Margin 16.0% 84.0% +9.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +5 (108-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Thornton * 39 5-14 1-4 0-0 2 6 1 0 0 11 6 -
DeMarcus Cousins * 34 4-13 0-2 2-2 11 5 1 2 5 10 11 -
Francisco Garcia * 29 4-9 2-6 4-4 3 2 4 0 1 14 13 -
Jason Thompson * 25 4-6 0-0 4-5 5 0 2 1 3 12 11 -
Pooh Jeter * 25 6-11 1-2 2-2 1 4 0 0 2 15 7 -
Omri Casspi * 22 6-9 2-4 2-2 4 3 1 0 0 16 15 -
Luther Head * 22 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 3 0 7 7 -
Jermaine Taylor * 17 7-12 2-5 0-0 3 3 0 1 0 16 11 -
Samuel Dalembert * 15 1-7 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 3 2 1 -
Darnell Jackson * 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
George Hill * 37 6-12 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 14 8 -
Tony Parker * 34 11-18 2-2 3-4 1 6 1 0 5 27 12 -
Manu Ginobili * 33 7-14 3-7 7-8 4 7 2 0 4 24 19 -
Matt Bonner * 26 1-4 0-1 1-2 6 2 1 0 1 3 7 -
Tim Duncan * 25 5-9 0-0 5-6 10 0 3 1 1 15 19 -
Gary Neal * 25 3-7 0-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
DeJuan Blair * 22 6-12 0-0 2-3 6 0 1 1 1 14 9 -
James Anderson * 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
Antonio McDyess * 16 0-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 2 3 -

* = starter