Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | -0.9 | ✓ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -19 (97-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Lawson * | 35 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 29 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 26 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| JR Smith * | 23 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 16 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Gortat * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 30 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 27 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 20 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 20 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 20 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Zabian Dowdell | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Garret Siler | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter