Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (94-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 39 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 39 | 8-21 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 36 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 19 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 42 | 7-17 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 9-23 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 37 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 23 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter