Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | +2.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -4 (102-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 39 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8-14 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 35 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 34 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 29 | 11-17 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 17 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Quentin Richardson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Earl Clark | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Duhon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Thornton * | 39 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Luther Head * | 36 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 13-18 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Omri Casspi * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 17 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Pooh Jeter * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jermaine Taylor * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Darnell Jackson | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter