Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +7 (111-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 37 | 7-20 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 35 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 30 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 5 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 21 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 13 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 11-15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 30 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 29 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 23 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| George Hill * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 20 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| James Anderson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Steve Novak | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter